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    磐石金融:No 292 - Tiptoeing back to the negotiating table

    磐石金融   |   2019-08-14 11:06:24

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    摘要:Here is what we know. The Office of the US Trade Representative announced it will delay until 15th December th

      Here is what we know. The Office of the US Trade Representative announced it will delay until 15th December the impending September 1st 10% tariffs on several products including laptops, cell phones, computers, video game consoles, certain toys, computer monitors, and items of footwear and clothing. In addition, a few other products, such as types of fish and baby seats, were permanently removed from the tariff list. The total “reprieved” volume of goods could comprise over 50% of the proposed September 10% tariffs. Swamped by renewed trade optimism many risk markets moved sharply higher, while the safe havens moved in the opposite direction. What we don't know is if this US olive branch will be seen as a climb down by the White House which will allow Beijing policy makers to reciprocate with purchases of agricultural goods, and therefore the two sides will tiptoe back to the negotiating table.

      The onshore RMB FIX came in at 7.0312 slightly stronger than yesterdays 7.0326 but still indicating a weakening Chinese economy which was confirmed in this morning's official data, which for China optimists currently wearing the scars of the trade war, was just short of a disaster.China's Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY Actual 5.7% Previous 5.8% Forecast 5.9%Industrial Production YoY Jul Actual 4.8% Previous 6.3% Forecast 5.9%Retail Sales YoY Jul Actual 7.6% Previous 9.8% Forecast 8.2%Considering Industrial Production growth in China averaged 11.97% from 1990 until 2019, todays number is the worst pace of industrial production growth since the early 2002, which may encourage talks to restart sooner rather than later.Have a good day

      John Browning先生于2002至2004年担任伦敦金属交易所LME的董事会成员和电子商务委员会主席,被业界公认在建立LME电子交易平台方面做出过突出贡献。

      2008年,在移居到亚洲之前,Browning先生为伦敦巴克莱资本集团Barclays Capital电子交易部董事。在新际金融Newedge任职香港金属部主管时,他与石成虎先生共同开发了世界上第一个可同时交易国内和国外期货市场的套利交易系统。创立磐石之前,Browning先生任职Jefferies香港商品部董事总经理

    特别声明:本文为天眼自媒体平台“天眼号”作者上传并发布,仅代表该作者观点。天眼仅提供信息发布平台。

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